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    Moscow looks at the second Ukrainian war anniversary with pending victory.

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    Moscow looks at the second Ukrainian war anniversary with pending victory.
    • February 24, 2024 • 2 months ago
    in summary
    Today marks the second year since president Vladimir Putin ordered the full scale invasion of Ukraine on 24th February 2022.

    The Russia Ukraine war clocks two years as the woefully ill prepared alliance with the West in Ukraine's battle against Russia has granted the Moscow forces an upper hand despite failure in the early phases of the war.

    The military aid received by Ukraine from Britain and USA  in the early stages if the war  undoubtedly contributed to Kyiv's success in withstanding the initial Russian special military operation in Ukraine as President Putin's invasion was euphemistically annouced two years ago.

    Since then, a combination of western dithering especially on the part of Biden's administration over responding to Kyiv's pleas for more weaponry and the ability of Russia to establish Robust defences including sophisticated electronic warfare systems has reduced the conflict to a stalemate.

    The dire predicament Ukraine now faces was reflected in its decision at the weekend to withdraw its forces from the bitterly contested Avdviika in the Donestk region citing ammunition shortages 

    Ukraine's weapon crisis is partly as a result of political paralysis in Washington over maintaining support for Kyiv with an isolationist body of Republicans blocking the Biden's administration's effort to authorise a new $60 billion dollar package.

    But another reason could be the failure of Ukraine's allies in Europe to sustain weapon supplies at the same level as at the start of the conflict.

    At this rate and given Moscow's recent battlefield advances, the war could be concluded in Russia's favour long before the Western vital weaponry sees action, a prospect that should fill European leaders with alarm.

    For all their talk of confronting Russian aggression, Ukraine's faltering military campaign not only serves as an indictment of Europe's lack of prepardness but also an indicator of Moscow military high guard where the forces have with stood NATO and E.U backlash for a stunning 730 days now.

    The continued failure of Ukraine to walk their talk has nevertheless proven that the west indeed has little appetite for a fight with Russia.

    The performance on Ukraine does mean alot as this fight is no longer a fight for the country's survival only but also defending the entire western alliance.

    In an interview with American journalist Carlson Tucker, Russian president Vladimir Putin emphasized that the Russian interests have not changed and therefore they will keep fighting for the sovereignty of their country as gifted to them by the former leaders of Catherine l and Peter l.

    The desire to defend the country's sovereignty has been evidenced in the increased Russian military budget enhancement.

    The Moscow administration increased the total military expenditure upto 62% the second largest defence budget in the world after Biden's USA.

    Therefore it is essential to keep in mind the risk of a deadly escalation which could make it hard to avoid conflict in Europe with Russia not agreeing to Nato expansion.

     

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